{"id":63457,"date":"2018-02-05T04:16:10","date_gmt":"2018-02-05T09:16:10","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.gayfriendschat.com\/socialblog\/the-waugh-zone-monday-february-5-2018\/"},"modified":"2018-02-05T04:16:10","modified_gmt":"2018-02-05T09:16:10","slug":"the-waugh-zone-monday-february-5-2018","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gayfriendschat.com\/socialblog\/the-waugh-zone-monday-february-5-2018\/","title":{"rendered":"The Waugh Zone Monday February 5, 2018"},"content":{"rendered":"

The Waugh Zone Monday February 5, 2018<\/b><\/p>\n

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1 CATEGORICAL IMPERATIVE<\/strong><\/h1>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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Winter is finally beginning to bite as sub-zero temperatures hit the UK this week. But ministers are still split between those who think life outside the warm embrace of the EU\u2019s customs union will plunge our economy into the deep freeze – and those who think the sunlit uplands beckon once the cold, clammy hand of Brussels is lifted from our buccaneering businesses.<\/p>\n

Ahead of the crunch meeting of the Cabinet sub-committee on Brexit this Wednesday, there is at least an emerging consensus that Theresa May has approved a form of words the whole team can live<\/a> with. It turns out that Liam Fox was not freelancing last week in China when he suggested the UK had to stay out of any form of customs \u2018union\u2019.\u00a0<\/p>\n

No.10 sources last night backed him up firmly, declaring: \u201cTo put this to rest, we are categorically leaving the customs union\u2026 we must also be free to sign those trade deals with the rest of the world.. So it is not our policy to stay in the customs union. It is not our policy to stay in\u00a0a<\/em>\u00a0customs union\u201d. Or, as another senior aide put it to me this morning: \u201cThe key point, as the PM said about 15 times last week, is we need to have freedom to sign trade deals\u201d.<\/p>\n

Two political imperatives seem to be at work here: May needs the Brexiteers (led by the Jacob Rees-Mogg) on board; the Brexiteers need May in place to avoid a leadership race that could derail Brexit itself. And, crucially, Remainer ministers seem pretty relaxed about the semantic debate, happy that the two options devised are \u201ca customs partnership\u201d or \u201ca highly streamlined customs arrangement\u201d.<\/p>\n

As I\u2019ve written before, members of the Cabinet sub-committee prefer its discussions to a full Cabinet as the debate is less about grandstanding and more about finding common positions. The Times reports<\/a> that there is one compromise in the air, whereby Philip Hammond agrees to trade deals with non-EU states in return for a limited extension of the current customs union. Ministers tell me that Boris is frequently the one in Cabinet who is often a lone voice on Brexit, a factor that could endear him to backbench Eurosceptics in any future leadership race, if he walks out. Few suspect he will actually quit if he doesn\u2019t get what he wants. But will he spring another surprise and prove them all wrong, just as he shocked David Cameron in coming out for Vote Leave in early 2016? We are nearly exactly two years from his fateful announcement back then.<\/p>\n

There\u2019s also a suspicion that some Remainers in Cabinet are going along with \u2018cake and eat it\u2019 demands of the EU in the full expectation that Brussels will refuse. Some of them think that the word \u2018union\u2019 or \u2018arrangement\u2019 is irrelevant, as long as the outcome is very similar to today\u2019s frictionless trade with the EU (and are happy for the Brexiteers to have a propaganda \u2018victory\u2019 on words, but not on substance). Michel Barnier is in London today for a meeting with David Davis. There\u2019s no press conference, but Barnier\u2019s statement will be worth watching to see his reaction to the UK ruling out \u2018a\u2019, as well as \u2018the\u2019 customs union. \u00a0Will he help May to sell a workable solution to her party? Or make life more difficult?<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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2. APOTHECARY HYPOTHECARY<\/strong><\/h1>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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Will there ever be a political consensus on how to fund the cost of our ageing population while keeping the NHS free at the point of use? The UK somehow managed to find cross-party agreement on increasing the state pension age (another big ticket item) in a way that few other countries have managed. But on health and social care, a similar long-term solution is desperately needed yet often seems further away than ever.<\/p>\n

Today a panel of health experts set up by the Lib Dems has come up with what many expect will one day be part of the answer: a ring-fenced (\u2018hypothecated\u2019 in the jargon) tax to provide the funds needed. What may make politicians sit up and take notice is that the panel includes former NHS chief exec Sir David Nicholson, former Royal College of GPs chief Claire Gerada and former RCN chief Peter Carter.<\/p>\n

Their report suggests a new combined health and social care tax, which would take in bits of council tax and a reformed National Insurance levy. Reinstating a cap on the cost of personal social care is also among the recommendations. There will be disagreement about the detail but with Tory MPs like Nick Boles recently backing the idea of a special tax for the NHS, it is at least a starting point for debate. Labour is wary of any cross-party working not least after the Lansley-Burnham \u2018death tax\u2019 bitterness, but will Parliament take the lead on this and prod the parties towards a solution? Let\u2019s see.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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3 BENEFIT GIG<\/strong><\/h1>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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New Work and Pensions Secretary Esther McVey makes her debut at her departmental question time in the Commons today. Universal Credit and Carillion pensions will feature, but one question that caught my eye is from the SNP\u2019s Martyn Day that askes for \u201can assessment of the effect of the benefit freeze on the use of food banks\u201d. So far, McVey has taken steps to defuse criticism of the harsher elements of welfare policy, but on this one she may well dig in.<\/p>\n

Many think tanks say that in-work poverty stems from not just the earnings squeeze but specifically from George Osborne\u2019s four-year benefit freeze (most working-age benefits frozen at 2015\/16 cash values from 2016\/17 to 2019\/20 inclusive) and today the main business of the Commons is a debate on the Social Security Benefits Up-rating Order 2018. Given that this will seek to continue benefits (other than for pensioners and the disabled) do not rise in line with inflation, will Labour try to sneak in a vote? There\u2019s another issue too in that half a million expat pensioners don\u2019t get any uprating.<\/p>\n

Meanwhile, speaking of keeping pace on the income front, the new IFS report on the gender pay gap<\/a> shows how far we have to go to help parents who take part-time work during a career break. In this anniversary year of women<\/a>\u2019s suffrage, we discover that by the time a first child reaches the age of 20, mothers earn around 30% less on average than similarly educated fathers. The IFS doesn\u2019t offer solutions but better back-to-work skilling and fairer childcare are among the policies campaigners want to see.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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BECAUSE YOU\u2019VE READ THIS FAR…<\/strong><\/h1>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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Watch this thief slip up (literally) after trying to steal some packages from a porch. \u00a0<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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4. LODGER THE DODGER<\/strong><\/h1>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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The Guardian reports<\/a> that Freemasonry records have revealed that the secretive organisation has two active lodges operating in Parliament. One, New Welcome Lodge, recruits MPs and staff. Another, Gallery Lodge, is for Gallery and Lobby reporters. \u00a0The United Grand Lodge of England claims no new members have joined the journalists\u2019 lodge since 2000, which would fit with gossip years ago that a small group of older hacks were masons.<\/p>\n

I do recall once arriving early for a Commons meeting, in a little-known part of the House, to find all the chairs arranged in a very odd manner indeed, and hearing a rumour that this was where masons had met. Verifying anything was impossible. What\u2019s particularly odd is that neither MPs nor journalists are required to declare their membership in the Commons register of interests. Surely if there\u2019s nothing to hide, transparency is now long overdue?<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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5. GREAT WALL OF CYBER<\/strong><\/h1>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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On the trip to China with the PM last week, all of us in the British delegation were more than aware of the hacking threat. No10 staff had taken \u2018burner\u2019 phones to avoid being compromised and few used Gmail or Twitter blocked by the authorities. The FT has an advance of a report<\/a> out today from GCHQ\u2019s National Cyber Security Centre showing the scale of the threat at home too.<\/p>\n

The NCSC took down more than 120,000 fake websites last year and blocked 54m malicious online attacks as part of a \u201cgreat British firewall\u201d designed to stop cyber criminals targeting the public for money and secret data.\u00a0Fake HMRC sites were the most prevalent. Sadly, today\u2019s report won\u2019t include attacks by \u2018hostile state actors\u2019 such as China, North Korea or Russia. \u00a0But this is the first time we\u2019ve had information about \u201ccommodity attacks\u201d that caused \u201cthe majority of people the majority of harm\u201d.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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SUNDAY SHOWS ROUND-UP<\/strong><\/h1>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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Had a lie-in? Got a life? Catch up with our quick round-up of the Sunday politics shows\u00a0HERE<\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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If you\u2019re reading this on the web, sign-up\u00a0HERE<\/a><\/strong>\u00a0to get The Waugh Zone delivered to your inbox.<\/h2>\n

Got something you want to share? Please send any stories\/tips\/quotes\/pix\/plugs\/gossip to\u00a0Paul Waugh<\/a><\/strong>,\u00a0Ned Simons<\/a><\/strong>,\u00a0Kate Forrester<\/a>,\u00a0<\/strong>\u00a0R<\/a>achel Wearmouth<\/a>\u00a0<\/strong>and\u00a0Owen Bennett<\/a><\/strong>.<\/p>\n

To pitch a blog post on HuffPost, email\u00a0Charlie Lindlar<\/a><\/strong>\u00a0or\u00a0the blog team<\/a><\/strong>.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\nwww.huffingtonpost.co.uk\/entry\/the-waugh-zone-monday-february-5-2018_uk_5a781975e4b0905433b63376<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The Waugh Zone Monday February 5, 2018 1 CATEGORICAL IMPERATIVE Winter is finally beginning to bite as sub-zero temperatures hit the UK this week. But ministers are still split between those who think life outside the warm embrace of the EU\u2019s customs union will plunge our economy into the deep freeze – and those who … Continue reading The Waugh Zone Monday February 5, 2018<\/span> →<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2466,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-63457","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-misc"],"yoast_head":"\nThe Waugh Zone Monday February 5, 2018 - GAYFRIENDSCHAT.com<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.gayfriendschat.com\/socialblog\/the-waugh-zone-monday-february-5-2018\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The Waugh Zone Monday February 5, 2018 - GAYFRIENDSCHAT.com\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The Waugh Zone Monday February 5, 2018 1 CATEGORICAL IMPERATIVE Winter is finally beginning to bite as sub-zero temperatures hit the UK this week. 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