{"id":62347,"date":"2018-01-25T04:15:28","date_gmt":"2018-01-25T09:15:28","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.gayfriendschat.com\/socialblog\/the-waugh-zone-thursday-january-25-2018\/"},"modified":"2018-01-25T04:15:28","modified_gmt":"2018-01-25T09:15:28","slug":"the-waugh-zone-thursday-january-25-2018","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gayfriendschat.com\/socialblog\/the-waugh-zone-thursday-january-25-2018\/","title":{"rendered":"The Waugh Zone Thursday January 25, 2018"},"content":{"rendered":"

The Waugh Zone Thursday January 25, 2018<\/b><\/p>\n

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1. LETTERS PRAY<\/strong><\/h1>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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Theresa May is in Davos, but back home the grumbling about her leadership is growing. Earlier this week one senior Tory confided to me that there had been a \u2018mood change\u2019 in the wake of a series of missteps including the shambolic reshuffle. Stories of the PM\u2019s stiffness in private (one fired minister actually had to give her the words to fire them) abound, but more importantly her lack of strategic vision is now the main worry.<\/p>\n

Bang on cue, the Sun\u2019s Harry Cole\u00a0reports<\/a>\u00a0that backbench 1922 Committee chairman Sir Graham Brady was \u2018ashen faced\u2019 at the prospect of \u2018one more letter\u2019 demanding a vote of no confidence in the PM. Under party rules, a vote is automatically triggered once 15% of the party (48 MPs) backs one. Back in September, the number was estimated in the thirties, but is it now over 40? Brady, a wise old owl despite his youth, has warned colleagues to \u2018be careful\u2019 given a leadership race could dismantle Brexit talks. May will be praying her backbenchers heed his advice.<\/p>\n

Having conducted her reshuffle, the PM\u2019s room for defensive or offensive manoeuvre is limited. But her critics know they need a trigger and one former Cabinet minister tells PoliticsHome that could be the local elections. \u201cWe\u2019re probably going to lose every seat we\u2019ve got in Birmingham, for example.\u201d Others fear the loss of Barnet, Wandsworth or Westminster in London concentrate MPs\u2019 minds. \u201cJeremy [Hunt] could run, Boris, Amber [Rudd], and a younger name,\u201d one senior Tory told me. \u201cWe all know she\u2019s terrible. Why not just get on with it?\u201d One option is a short, sharp leadership race in May, leaving key ministers in post to get on with the day job (and get a new Government in place by the summer). After all, as one MP points out, May continued to be Home Secretary while a leadership candidate in 2016.<\/p>\n

Iain Martin writes in the Times: \u201cThe timing [of a leadership contest] is of course sub-optimal \u2014 but May 1940 was hardly ideal either.\u201d Aptly enough, the Telegraph reports that Trump phoned May last month, just after watching the movie Darkest Hour, and told her \u201cYou could be this generation\u2019s Churchill\u201d. But as May meets Trump for a bilateral in Davos today, will she get a word in edgeways? Tim Shipman\u00a0reported last year<\/a>how Trump dominates with opening lines like \u2018Theresa I\u2019ve loved you, I missed you\u2019, refusing to let her make her points. One aide said: \u201cHe\u2019s a crazy person but\u2026in speaking like that he prevents all sorts of conversations. He\u2019s completely in control.\u201d Bloomberg has a May interview today, but Piers Morgan has landed a Trump one for ITV.<\/p>\n

Yet it\u2019s the PM\u2019s lack of control over her own party that is most obvious (as the Boris NHS flare-up this week showed). This morning she may also get some very bad news on her own cherished Home Office record too. One source tells me the crime stats due out at 9.30am are expected to be dire. Add in the missed immigration target, and MPs may wonder: just what is Theresa May for?<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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2. KEEP THE FAITH<\/strong><\/h1>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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It appears the PM will make no direct reference to Brexit in her speech today, other than perhaps a general message of being open for business. But boy<\/a> is there a lot of Brexit stuff around. The FT reports Britain is seeking a special \u201cgood faith\u201d clause in its Brexit transition deal, fearing the EU may otherwise exploit its position to impose deliberately harmful rules on the UK. This is complicated by the fact that we want to exclude ourselves from existing \u201cgood faith\u201d provisions in EU treaties to allow a more independent trade policy. Brussels stresses \u2018sincere cooperation\u2019 is the concept that guides all their body of laws.<\/p>\n

David Davis\u2019s message to Eurosceptics wary about May selling them out has so far been \u2018I\u2019m one of you, so keep the faith\u2019. But their patience is running thin, as Jacob Rees-Mogg\u2019s questions to him at the Brexit Select Committee showed yesterday. JRM accused DD of \u2018weak\u2019 answers on whether the UK will keep have to abide by EU rules during a two-year transition. Some think the penny has dropped for backbench Brexiteers who now fear May\u2019s Florence speech tore up key parts of her Lancaster House speech in agreeing to a status quo period after 2019.<\/p>\n

There was much hilarity at David Cameron\u2019s unguarded remark that Brexit was a mistake but \u2018not a disaster\u2019 and \u2018it\u2019s turned out less badly than we thought\u2019. Speaking of which, Treasury Perm Sec Tom Scholar told MPs yesterday that Osborne\u2019s Project Fear forecasts totally failed to take account of fiscal or monetary responses to the Leave vote or global growth. The damage to the Treasury\u2019s reputation caused by the whole affair should not be underestimated.<\/p>\n

But it\u2019s not all a rosy picture for the Brexiteers. The Times reveals Bank of England Governor Mark Carney told a Davos breakfast that the Brexit vote has cost the UK more than \u00a3200m a week in lost growth. Asked to measure the cost in \u2018Brexit buses\u2019, he did a bit of mental arithmetic and concurred that the missed opportunity \u201cequated to between two thirds and three quarters of the \u00a3350 million\u201d on Boris\u2019 battlebus. OBR chief Robert Chote tells the New Statesman<\/a> the UK economy is \u2018weak and stable\u2019.<\/p>\n

Meanwhile International Trade minister Greg Hands was\u00a0candid with MPs\u00a0<\/a>yesterday that there were \u2018resource\u2019 issues if 40 countries with EU trade deals wanted to renegotiate them. A new NAO report warns his department is not fit for Brexit, having failed to set out the \u201ccapabilities and level of capacity\u201d it needs. \u00a0Oh, and the\u00a0Institute for Government says\u00a0<\/a>May\u2019s reshuffles in the Brexit Department and elsewhere are undermining policymaking.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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3. CULTURE CLUB<\/strong><\/h1>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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May\u2019s leaden-footed political instincts were once again on display in her reaction to the Presidents Club groping scandal. After PMQs, her office said merely that she had been \u2018uncomfortable\u2019 on reading the FT\u2019s damning report. By 10pm last night that had been upgraded to a new source quote: \u201cThe Prime Minister is appalled by what has been reported. This shows there is a long way to go to ensure all women<\/a> are treated properly as equals.\u201d<\/p>\n

As it happens, two female<\/a> ministers were the strongest performers yesterday. Education minister Anne Milton in the chamber had the right mix of integrity and candour that showed once again why it\u2019s baffling she was overlooked for a Cabinet post. Her response was a sharp contrast to Nadhim Zahawi\u2019s failure to even turn up to the frontbench, despite being seen briefing her minutes before behind the Speaker\u2019s chair in PMQs. And on Newsnight too, minister Margot James (a former businesswoman) denounced the misconduct and hinted at changes in the law.<\/p>\n

But the questions continue. Zahawi met the Chief Whip last night and one gets the impression that if the PM was in the country, he could be in more trouble. It\u2019s still odd that the minister at one point said he couldn\u2019t comment on the event as he left early, yet now it turns out he left early because he felt uncomfortable that the women<\/a> were paraded around the room. Having been to previous events, had he seen similar displays or worse? We\u2019re told he attended as a private individual, but did he use a ministerial car to get to or from the event?<\/p>\n

Just who, if anyone, in Government (or in Cameron\u2019s Cabinet) knew about the unsavoury element to the dinners remains unclear. And No.10 has close links to Presidents Club co-chair David Mellor. May\u2019s deputy chief of staff and two ministers attended an ideas meeting at his Mayfair home only last October. As we report, Meller\u00a0made donations to Michael Gove\u2019s leadership bid<\/a>\u00a0in 2016, as well as donations to the party more widely. A key backer of the pervasive Policy Exchange crowd of wonks-turned-MPs, just what did they know? And we have yet to be told which ministers attended the men<\/a>-only event previously. On the Today programme, Culture Secretary Matt Hancock just said the club\u2019s closure was \u201cgoodbye to bad rubbish\u201d and \u201cI comfortably describe myself as a feminist\u201d. He added \u201cin my time in public life I\u2019ve never attended anything like that\u201d.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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BECAUSE YOU\u2019VE READ THIS FAR…<\/strong><\/h1>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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Watch this baby rhino enjoy its first ever shower.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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4. GREEN GOVE-RNMENT<\/strong><\/h1>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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Michael Gove\u2019s drive to burnish the Tory party\u2019s green credentials has been well documented. Like Boris Johnson\u2019s bid to hail a \u2018Brexit dividend\u2019 for the NHS (a dividend that the IFS has again suggested is illusory), the Environment Secretary suggests the UK\u2019s environmental protections can be strengthened not weakened outside the EU. He\u2019s written a long piece for\u00a0Politico Europe<\/a>\u00a0this morning, saying how we can \u2018take back control\u2019 for a \u2018Green Brexit\u2019.<\/p>\n

And yet, Greenpeace\u2019s investigatory arm, Unearthed,\u00a0revealed yesterday\u00a0<\/a>leaked EU officials\u2019 notes showing that British officials told their counterparts the UK will be unable to support an EU-wide target of recycling 65% of all municipal waste by 2035. Diplomats from three other EU nations, speaking on condition of anonymity, agreed that UK officials had been \u2018quite blunt\u2019 in voicing opposition to the binding recycling target. Not quite what Sir David Attenborough would want? Let alone plastics-strangled turtles. Maybe in DEFRA Questions at 9.30am, Gove can clear up the confusion.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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5. YES SHE KHAN<\/strong><\/h1>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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Eight months ago, in the wake of the Manchester terror attack, Theresa May promised a new Commission for Countering Extremism. Today, campaigner Sara Khan (who has worked for several Government departments) has been appointed to head it. But within minutes of the announcement, former Tory chairwoman Sayeeda Warsi was highly critical, doubting Khan\u2019s likely independence and credibility in a series of tweets and warned of \u201cdestructive and dangerous games\u201d being played.<\/p>\n

The main criticism seems to be that Khan strongly backs the controversial Prevent programme, the anti-radicalisation scheme that a UN Human Rights Council report in 2016 described as \u201cinherently flawed.\u201d But Khan is not alone in criticsing the balance between security and civil liberties. New reviewer of counter-terror legislation Max Hill has been vocal in opposing new \u2018thought crime\u2019 laws. In a neat bit of timing, his latest report will be published today in a Written Ministerial Statement from the Home Office.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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If you\u2019re reading this on the web, sign-up\u00a0HERE<\/a><\/strong>\u00a0to get The Waugh Zone delivered to your inbox.<\/h2>\n

Got something you want to share? Please send any stories\/tips\/quotes\/pix\/plugs\/gossip to\u00a0Paul Waugh<\/a><\/strong>,\u00a0Ned Simons<\/a><\/strong>,\u00a0Kate Forrester<\/a>,\u00a0<\/strong>\u00a0R<\/a>achel Wearmouth<\/a>\u00a0<\/strong>and\u00a0Owen Bennett<\/a><\/strong>.<\/p>\n

To pitch a blog post on HuffPost, email\u00a0Charlie Lindlar<\/a><\/strong>\u00a0or\u00a0the blog team<\/a><\/strong>.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\nwww.huffingtonpost.co.uk\/entry\/the-waugh-zone-thursday-january-25-2018_uk_5a6999c2e4b0dc592a0f65f1<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The Waugh Zone Thursday January 25, 2018 1. LETTERS PRAY Theresa May is in Davos, but back home the grumbling about her leadership is growing. Earlier this week one senior Tory confided to me that there had been a \u2018mood change\u2019 in the wake of a series of missteps including the shambolic reshuffle. Stories of … Continue reading The Waugh Zone Thursday January 25, 2018<\/span> →<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2466,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[107],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-62347","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news"],"yoast_head":"\nThe Waugh Zone Thursday January 25, 2018 - GAYFRIENDSCHAT.com<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.gayfriendschat.com\/socialblog\/the-waugh-zone-thursday-january-25-2018\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The Waugh Zone Thursday January 25, 2018 - GAYFRIENDSCHAT.com\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The Waugh Zone Thursday January 25, 2018 1. LETTERS PRAY Theresa May is in Davos, but back home the grumbling about her leadership is growing. Earlier this week one senior Tory confided to me that there had been a \u2018mood change\u2019 in the wake of a series of missteps including the shambolic reshuffle. 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